The CNB lowered the base rate by 25bp, as expected by the markets. The new forecast represents a shift in a stagflationary ...

The central bank seems to have slowed down the depreciation of the lira recently. It has done this not by selling FX to the ...

The National Bank of Romania (NBR) kept the policy rate at 6.50%, in line with expectations. The Bank highlighted again the ...

Underlying inflation trend and inertia: 3.9 percentage points for 2024 and 3.5ppt for 2025. Food prices: 1.6ppt for 2024 and ...

The BoE and Fed delivered largely anticipated cuts, but were reluctant to provide more guidance. Treasury and Gilt yields ...

Finance Minister Lan Fo’an noted that the outstanding scale of hidden debt was around RMB14.3tn; with the measures approved ...

A large portion of the election move in the dollar has been unwound. That, to us, looks more like a positioning adjustment ...

Trump would likely try to counter any strength in oil prices as a result of this by pressuring OPEC+ to increase output. This ...

The US Fed has cut its policy rate by 25bp. They acknowledge that policy remains restrictive and that further cuts are likely ...

ING’s Carsten Brzeski on the new challenges Europe now faces after Donald Trump’s stunning election victory. This may, however, be the kick the continent needs to sort out its deep-seated structural ...

What surprised James Smith this week was just how unsurprising the market’s reaction was to Donald Trump’s landslide election victory. Markets have made their mind up on what his second term means for ...

We are revising our EUR/USD forecast lower following the Republican clean sweep. We assume that Trump will go ahead with both ...